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California's Projected Economic Losses under ACA Repeal

December 22, 2016

External Publication

Authors: Laurel Lucia, MPP, Ken Jacobs

In addition to increasing the rate of the uninsured population in California, repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) would eliminate 209,000 jobs in the state, cost $20.3 billion in lost GDP, and $1.5 billion in lost state and local tax revenue according to research from UC Berkeley Center for Labor Research and Education. Several medium and large counties would be particularly harmed by an ACA repeal because of their high share of population -- more than 10 percent -- enrolled in the Medi-Cal expansion: Fresno, Kern, Los Angeles, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, and Tulare counties.

The brief uses 2015 California Health Interview Survey (CHIS) insurance data to model various types of county rates.

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